From Forbes
on Fox 1/22/2005
Makers
and Breakers
iShares
MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM)
Phil DeMuth,
president of Conservative Wealth Management: MAKER
The emerging
markets are the developed markets of tomorrow. If you could have
gone back to America in the beginning of the 19th century and
put a dollar in our market you would have $7.5 million today.
That's a pretty good return.
David Asman:
You think it can go up about 20 percent to $235. (Friday's close:
$193.50)
Elizabeth
MacDonald: MAKER
Sounds really
expensive. I like this stock. It's got a great presence in Asia.
The thing of it is, emerging markets are notoriously volatile.
So keep it at about 5-10 percent of overall assets.
Jim Michaels:
BREAKER
As far as
investing in America when it was an emerging market, Europeans
got hosed in the American market. They lost huge amounts of money.
Emerging markets are very dangerous and difficult places to invest.
Phil Demuth:
Emerging markets have a very low correlation with the performance
of the U.S. market. So if you own both, what happens is that you
get a very smooth ride going up.
Energy
Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
Phil Demuth:
MAKER
The energy
global story is one of supply and demand. They haven't found a
new oil field in 35 years -- okay they have found one.
On the demand side, you've got China. They've got the best road
system in the world. I don't think they're planning to use it
for rickshaws.
David Asman:
$44 is your 12-month target price. (Friday's close: $36.40)
Jim Michaels:
MAKER
If you don't
have energy stocks, this is not a bad way to play it.
Elizabeth
MacDonald: MAKER
Not all oil
stocks are created equal, but this is a great way to play the
entire industry.